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Portrait of Pablo Carreno Busta, tennis player
Player research cockpit

Pablo CarrenoBusta

TennisJack analysis

Pablo Carreno Busta currently has a large TennisJack sample of 65 completed matches, with a 61.5% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 3-7 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #74
M
Matches65Completed matches
%
Win rate61.5%Across all matches
F
Latest form3-7In latest 10 matches
I
Index statusStrong candidateProfile confidence
Performance metrics
Hold Base77.8%
Break Pressure28.2%
Latest form (10 matches)
3-7
L W L W L L W L L L
Surface profile
Clay
Canonical/players/pablo-carreno-busta/
Index statusStrong candidate
Last updatedData from TennisJack
Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 65 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

01

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Balanced starts Break-heavy player Close-set risk Stable server
Set 1 punch53.8%
Service shield77.8%
Return bite28.2%
Decider risk55.4%
02

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 70.0% 21-9 - 30 matches Avg odds 1.39 | 1+ set 90.0%
Underdog 60.0% 12-8 - 20 matches Avg odds 2.79 | 1+ set 70.0%
03

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win53.8%
Breaks first S149.1%
Broken first S150.9%
Recovers S117.2%
04

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks2.62
Avg broken2.08
Balance0.54
Clean service matches30.8%
3+ breaks produced58.5%
Set 2 win64.6%
05

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

35.0%Clean 2-0 share among wins
Clean 2-0 wins14
Comeback signals34
Lost set 1, won match10
Comeback index52.3%
06

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceClay
Primary record22-8
Primary WR73.3%
Best surfaceClay 73.3%
Clay22-873.3%
Hardcourt outdoor17-1356.7%
Hardcourt indoor1-420.0%
07

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.66
Avg loss odds2.51
Biggest win odds2.75
2.00+ odds WR56.2%
2.00+ sample16
Odds sample50
08

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share55.4%
Decider record21-15
Set 3 win61.1%
After losing S133.3%
09

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets45-36
Close-set WR55.6%
Tie-breaks12-9
Matches with tight set51
10

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Cooling down · 3 losses running
L W L W L L W L L L
Latest 5 WR20.0%
Previous 10 WR60.0%
Latest 51-4
Previous 106-4
Trend delta-40.0%
Latest 5 WR20.0%
Match log

All Pablo Carreno Busta matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, opponent, set score, result and service-return indicators before opening the deeper tools.

Open Player Research
DateMatchScoreResultHold / Break
24.10.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jacob FearnleyATP Vienna 4-6 6-3 3-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
78.6%
Break
15.4%
30.08.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri LeheckaUS Open 1-6 6-7 6-4 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
16.08.2026R64 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrey RublevATP Cincinnati 6-7 1-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
10.0%
14.08.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tomas MachacATP Cincinnati 6-3 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
62.5%
04.08.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin RoyerATP Montreal 6-1 5-7 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
76.9%
Break
23.1%
23.07.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Van AsscheATP Estoril 3-6 6-4 2-6Clay Loss
Hold
61.5%
Break
21.4%
21.07.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Vilius GaubasATP Estoril 6-1 6-3Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
62.5%
15.07.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliATP Umag 6-3 5-7 5-7Clay Loss
Hold
81.2%
Break
18.8%
14.07.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Matej DodigATP Umag 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
33.3%
31.05.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Rafael JodarFrench Open 6-4 6-4 1-6 2-6 2-6Clay Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
29.05.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thiago Agustin TiranteFrench Open 7-6 7-5 3-6 6-4Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
25.05.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri LeheckaFrench Open 6-3 7-6 6-3Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
23.5%
14.05.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian BaezChallenger Valencia 5-7 7-5 7-5Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
38.9%
12.05.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco ComesanaChallenger Valencia 6-4 6-3Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
60.0%
06.05.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro TabiloATP Rome 2-6 1-6Clay Loss
Hold
42.9%
Break
0.0%
04.05.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin DammATP Rome 6-3 6-3Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
33.3%
25.04.2026R64 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaATP Madrid 3-6 3-6Clay Loss
Hold
55.6%
Break
12.5%
23.04.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Marton FucsovicsATP Madrid 4-6 7-6 6-2Clay Win
Hold
86.7%
Break
18.8%
29.03.2026Final Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas RuizChallenger Alicante 4-6 2-6Clay Loss
Hold
66.7%
Break
0.0%
28.03.2026SF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian OfnerChallenger Alicante 3-6 6-3 6-4Clay Win
Hold
71.4%
Break
35.7%
27.03.2026QF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pedro MartinezChallenger Alicante 6-4 4-6 6-4Clay Win
Hold
73.3%
Break
33.3%
26.03.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezChallenger Alicante 3-6 7-5 6-3Clay Win
Hold
71.4%
Break
33.3%
24.03.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Svyatoslav GulinChallenger Alicante 7-5 6-1Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
22.03.2026Final Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Carballes BaenaChallenger Murcia 6-4 6-3Clay Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
50.0%
21.03.2026SF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Kimmer CoppejansChallenger Murcia 6-2 6-3Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
37.5%
20.03.2026QF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Andrea PellegrinoChallenger Murcia 6-3 6-4Clay Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
33.3%
19.03.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix GillChallenger Murcia 4-6 6-3 6-2Clay Win
Hold
92.3%
Break
23.1%
17.03.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Carlos Sanchez JoverChallenger Murcia 7-6 6-1Clay Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
40.0%
25.02.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri LeheckaATP Dubai 6-7 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
72.7%
Break
16.7%
24.02.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis ShapovalovATP Dubai 6-2 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
55.6%
22.02.2026Round 19 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca NardiATP Dubai 6-7 6-4 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
76.5%
Break
27.8%
21.02.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Botic Van De ZandschulpATP Dubai 6-3 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
17.02.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Quentin HalysATP Doha 6-4 5-7 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
15.02.2026Round 19 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Billy HarrisATP Doha 7-5 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
81.8%
Break
40.0%
14.02.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Reda BennaniATP Doha 6-4 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
07.02.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Roberto Carballes BaenaATP Rotterdam 4-6 6-3 1-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
76.9%
Break
8.3%
05.02.2026R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tallon GriekspoorATP Montpellier 4-6 4-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
0.0%
03.02.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Miomir KecmanovicATP Montpellier 4-6 6-3 7-6Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
81.2%
Break
18.8%
20.01.2026R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jakub MensikAustralian Open 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-7 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
10.01.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Vit KoprivaATP Auckland 3-6 6-1 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
76.9%
Break
23.1%
06.01.2026R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Grigor DimitrovATP Brisbane 3-6 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
62.5%
Break
0.0%
03.01.2026Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia BellucciATP Brisbane 6-4 2-6 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
12.5%
19.10.2025Final Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luca Van AsscheChallenger Olbia 6-7 7-6 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
53.3%
Break
33.3%
18.10.2025SF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin LandaluceChallenger Olbia 6-2 3-6 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
84.6%
Break
30.8%
17.10.2025QF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro TabiloChallenger Olbia 6-3 1-6 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
71.4%
Break
20.0%
16.10.2025R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Luka PavlovicChallenger Olbia 3-6 6-1 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
91.7%
Break
33.3%
16.10.2025R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pierluigi BasileChallenger Olbia 6-2 6-7 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
08.10.2025R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Milos KarolChallenger Roanne 7-6 5-7 6-7Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
05.10.2025Final Pablo Carreno Busta vs Hugo GrenierChallenger Villena 4-6 6-1 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
03.10.2025QF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Martin LandaluceChallenger Villena 6-3 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
50.0%
02.10.2025R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Eliakim CoulibalyChallenger Villena 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
44.4%
30.09.2025R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dali BlanchChallenger Villena 6-2 4-6 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
76.9%
Break
38.5%
19.09.2025QF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Vit KoprivaChallenger Bad Waltersdorf 2-6 6-0 1-6Clay Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
36.4%
18.09.2025R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian SorgerChallenger Bad Waltersdorf 7-5 6-4Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
17.09.2025R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Lukas NeumayerChallenger Bad Waltersdorf 7-5 4-6 6-3Clay Win
Hold
81.2%
Break
26.7%
04.09.2025QF Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dusan LajovicChallenger Seville 4-6 6-3 3-6Clay Loss
Hold
85.7%
Break
7.1%
03.09.2025R16 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Javier Barranco CosanoChallenger Seville 6-3 6-2Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
37.5%
02.09.2025R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Daniel RinconChallenger Seville 6-2 6-2Clay Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
75.0%
28.08.2025R64 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Ben SheltonUS Open 4-6 2-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
24.08.2025R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo Llamas RuizUS Open 7-6 6-4 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
18.8%
20.08.2025R32 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Sebastian BaezATP Winston-Salem 5-7 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
20.0%
05.08.2025Round 14 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Leandro RiediATP Cincinnati 6-7 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
81.8%
Break
8.3%
31.07.2025R64 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Arthur FilsATP Toronto 3-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
66.7%
Break
10.0%
29.07.2025R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Liam DraxlATP Toronto 2-6 6-4 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
78.6%
Break
21.4%
25.05.2025R128 Pablo Carreno Busta vs Francisco ComesanaFrench Open 6-2 7-6 7-5Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
29.4%