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Matteo Arnaldi tennis player profile visual with TennisJack stats and match analysis
TJPlayer research cockpit

Matteo Arnaldi

TennisJack analysis

Matteo Arnaldi currently has a large TennisJack sample of 54 completed matches, with a 50.0% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 7-3 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #34
M
Matches54Completed matches
%
Win rate50.0%Across all matches
F
Latest form7-3In latest 10 matches
Performance metrics
Hold Base74.2%
Break Pressure19.0%
Latest form (10 matches)
7-3
W Oldest W 2 W 3 W 4 W 5 W 6 L 7 L 8 W 9 L Latest
Surface profile
Clay 25 matches · 64.0% WR
Italy flag
CountryItalyCountry profile
PlayRightRight-handed
Highest Rank#30Singles career high
Age / Birthday25Born 22 Feb 2001
Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 54 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

01

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Balanced starts Break-heavy player Close-set risk Stable server
Set 1 punch42.6%
Service shield74.2%
Return bite19.0%
Decider risk61.1%
02

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 64.3% 9-5 - 14 matches Avg odds 1.55 | 1+ set 78.6%
Underdog 25.0% 3-9 - 12 matches Avg odds 3.14 | 1+ set 50.0%
03

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win42.6%
Breaks first S135.0%
Broken first S165.0%
Recovers S111.5%
04

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks2.11
Avg broken2.67
Balance-0.56
Clean service matches18.5%
3+ breaks produced37.0%
Set 2 win46.3%
05

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

14.8%Clean 2-0 share among wins
Clean 2-0 wins4
Comeback signals24
Lost set 1, won match9
Comeback index44.4%
06

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceClay
Primary record16-9
Primary WR64.0%
Best surfaceClay 64.0%
Clay16-964.0%
Hardcourt outdoor6-1135.3%
Hardcourt indoor3-350.0%
Grass2-433.3%
07

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.64
Avg loss odds2.83
Biggest win odds2.25
2.00+ odds WR18.2%
2.00+ sample11
Odds sample26
08

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share61.1%
Decider record18-15
Set 3 win51.5%
After losing S129.0%
09

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets42-45
Close-set WR48.3%
Tie-breaks23-14
Matches with tight set46
10

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Cooling down · 1 losses running
W oldest W 2 W 3 W 4 W 5 W 6 L 7 L 8 W 9 L latest
Latest 5 2-3 40.0% WR
Trend delta -50.0% latest vs previous sample
Match log

All Matteo Arnaldi matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, players, odds, final score, result and service-return indicators from completed matches.

Open Player Research
Win
03.01.2026Round 14
ATP BrisbaneHardcourt outdoor
Matteo Arnaldi
vs
Hugo Gaston
1.44
2.63
6-1 5-7 7-6
Hold
75.0%
Break
31.2%
Win
22.09.2025Round 14
ATP TokyoHardcourt outdoor
Luca Nardi
vs
Matteo Arnaldi
2.63
1.44
0-6 7-6 3-6
Hold
76.9%
Break
53.3%