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Portrait of Matteo Arnaldi, tennis player
Player research cockpit

MatteoArnaldi

TennisJack analysis

Matteo Arnaldi currently has a large TennisJack sample of 57 completed matches, with a 47.4% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 4-6 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #36
M
Matches57Completed matches
%
Win rate47.4%Across all matches
F
Latest form4-6In latest 10 matches
I
Index statusStrong candidateProfile confidence
Performance metrics
Hold Base73.7%
Break Pressure19.5%
Latest form (10 matches)
4-6
W W W L L W L L L L
Surface profile
Clay
Canonical/players/matteo-arnaldi/
Index statusStrong candidate
Last updatedData from TennisJack
Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 57 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

01

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Balanced starts Break-heavy player Close-set risk Stable server
Set 1 punch43.9%
Service shield73.7%
Return bite19.5%
Decider risk63.2%
02

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 64.3% 9-5 - 14 matches Avg odds 1.55 | 1+ set 78.6%
Underdog 25.0% 3-9 - 12 matches Avg odds 3.14 | 1+ set 50.0%
03

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win43.9%
Breaks first S135.0%
Broken first S165.0%
Recovers S111.5%
04

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks2.16
Avg broken2.72
Balance-0.56
Clean service matches19.3%
3+ breaks produced38.6%
Set 2 win45.6%
05

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

14.8%Clean 2-0 share among wins
Clean 2-0 wins4
Comeback signals24
Lost set 1, won match9
Comeback index42.1%
06

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceClay
Primary record16-9
Primary WR64.0%
Best surfaceClay 64.0%
Clay16-964.0%
Hardcourt outdoor6-1430.0%
Hardcourt indoor3-350.0%
Grass2-433.3%
07

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.64
Avg loss odds2.83
Biggest win odds2.25
2.00+ odds WR18.2%
2.00+ sample11
Odds sample26
08

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share63.2%
Decider record18-18
Set 3 win47.2%
After losing S128.1%
09

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets44-49
Close-set WR47.3%
Tie-breaks23-15
Matches with tight set49
10

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Cooling down · 4 losses running
W W W L L W L L L L
Latest 5 WR20.0%
Previous 10 WR70.0%
Latest 51-4
Previous 107-3
Trend delta-50.0%
Latest 5 WR20.0%
Match log

All Matteo Arnaldi matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, opponent, set score, result and service-return indicators before opening the deeper tools.

Open Player Research
DateMatchScoreResultHold / Break
31.08.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs James DuckworthUS Open 7-5 3-6 2-6 6-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
15.08.2026R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Martin LandaluceATP Cincinnati 4-6 6-4 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
33.3%
07.08.2026R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Tallon GriekspoorATP Montreal 6-3 4-6 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
64.3%
Break
28.6%
16.07.2026QF Matteo Arnaldi vs Damir DzumhurATP Umag 6-7 7-6 6-7Clay Loss
Hold
83.3%
Break
14.3%
15.07.2026R16 Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico Agustin GomezATP Umag 6-3 5-7 6-3Clay Win
Hold
86.7%
Break
26.7%
30.06.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin HalysWimbledon 6-3 1-6 6-7 3-6Grass Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
23.06.2026R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Giles HusseyATP Eastbourne 4-6 2-6Grass Loss
Hold
55.6%
Break
12.5%
21.06.2026Round 19 Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby SamuelATP Eastbourne 3-6 6-4 6-4Grass Win
Hold
85.7%
Break
14.3%
20.06.2026Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alastair GrayATP Eastbourne 7-6 7-6Grass Win
Hold
83.3%
Break
14.3%
01.06.2026R16 Matteo Arnaldi vs Frances TiafoeFrench Open 7-6 6-7 3-6 7-6 6-4Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
30.05.2026R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael CollignonFrench Open 6-4 6-7 5-7 6-4 7-6Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
28.05.2026R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos TsitsipasFrench Open 7-6 5-7 6-3 6-2Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
26.05.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Tallon GriekspoorFrench Open 6-7 6-3 7-6 6-3Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
10.05.2026R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael JodarATP Rome 1-6 6-4 3-6Clay Loss
Hold
46.1%
Break
30.8%
08.05.2026R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alex De MinaurATP Rome 4-6 7-6 6-4Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
11.8%
06.05.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume MunarATP Rome 6-3 3-6 6-3Clay Win
Hold
92.3%
Break
15.4%
03.05.2026Final Matteo Arnaldi vs Hubert HurkaczChallenger Cagliari 6-4 6-4Clay Win
Hold
70.0%
Break
50.0%
02.05.2026SF Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca CadenassoChallenger Cagliari 1-6 6-1 6-0Clay Win
Hold
60.0%
Break
70.0%
01.05.2026QF Matteo Arnaldi vs Nuno BorgesChallenger Cagliari 6-3 6-7 7-6Clay Win
Hold
82.3%
Break
22.2%
30.04.2026R16 Matteo Arnaldi vs Juan Manuel CerundoloChallenger Cagliari 6-2 6-3Clay Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
29.04.2026R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Federico ArnaboldiChallenger Cagliari 6-7 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
37.5%
20.04.2026Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Dusan LajovicATP Madrid 0-6 6-3 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
61.5%
Break
16.7%
11.04.2026Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin HalysATP Barcelona 1-6 7-6 6-7Clay Loss
Hold
73.3%
Break
11.1%
06.04.2026R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Cristian GarinATP Monte Carlo 2-6 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
33.3%
Break
37.5%
05.04.2026Round 19 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre MullerATP Monte Carlo 1-6 7-6 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
46.7%
Break
28.6%
04.04.2026Round 46 Matteo Arnaldi vs Vit KoprivaATP Monte Carlo 2-6 6-3 6-2Clay Win
Hold
69.2%
Break
41.7%
31.03.2026R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alex MolcanATP Bucharest 3-6 1-6Clay Loss
Hold
37.5%
Break
12.5%
20.03.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander ShevchenkoATP Miami 6-7 7-6 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
75.0%
Break
11.1%
06.03.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldATP Indian Wells 0-6 1-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
16.7%
Break
0.0%
19.01.2026R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Andrey RublevAustralian Open 4-6 2-6 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
64.3%
Break
0.0%
03.01.2026Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo GastonATP Brisbane 6-1 5-7 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
31.2%
25.10.2025Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Jacob FearnleyATP Paris 5-7 2-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
11.1%
23.10.2025R16 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander ZverevATP Vienna 4-6 4-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
0.0%
20.10.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Aleksandar KovacevicATP Vienna 7-5 6-4Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
18.2%
19.10.2025Round 19 Matteo Arnaldi vs Tristan SchoolkateATP Vienna 7-6 6-3Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
90.9%
Break
18.2%
18.10.2025Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Jesper De JongATP Vienna 6-4 7-6Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
81.8%
Break
25.0%
15.10.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Yannick HanfmannATP Brussels 7-6 4-6 4-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
86.7%
Break
5.9%
04.10.2025R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaATP Shanghai 4-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
0.0%
02.10.2025R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Rei SakamotoATP Shanghai 7-6 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
81.8%
Break
25.0%
23.09.2025Round 19 Matteo Arnaldi vs Marton FucsovicsATP Tokyo 5-7 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
10.0%
22.09.2025Round 14 Matteo Arnaldi vs Luca NardiATP Tokyo 6-0 6-7 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
76.9%
Break
53.3%
19.09.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Arthur CazauxATP Hangzhou 4-6 6-3 5-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
87.5%
Break
6.7%
26.08.2025R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Francisco CerundoloUS Open 6-3 6-2 5-7 4-6 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
20.08.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Botic Van De ZandschulpATP Winston-Salem 3-6 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
66.7%
Break
0.0%
07.08.2025R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Benjamin BonziATP Cincinnati 7-6 3-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
86.7%
Break
0.0%
01.08.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander ZverevATP Toronto 7-6 3-6 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
71.4%
Break
6.2%
30.07.2025R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Tristan SchoolkateATP Toronto 6-3 3-6 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
85.7%
Break
23.1%
25.07.2025R16 Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor FritzATP Washington 3-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
77.8%
Break
0.0%
23.07.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo SonegoATP Washington 7-5 7-5Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
83.3%
Break
33.3%
21.07.2025R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel AltmaierATP Washington 4-6 6-2 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
25.0%
01.07.2025R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Botic Van De ZandschulpWimbledon 6-7 6-7 4-6Grass Loss
Hold
88.2%
Break
5.3%
09.06.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Jan-Lennard StruffATP Stuttgart 4-6 4-6Grass Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
0.0%
29.05.2025R64 Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio CobolliFrench Open 3-6 3-6 7-6 1-6Clay Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
27.05.2025R128 Matteo Arnaldi vs Felix Auger AliassimeFrench Open 5-7 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
22.05.2025QF Matteo Arnaldi vs Novak DjokovicATP Geneva 4-6 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
70.0%
Break
10.0%
21.05.2025R16 Matteo Arnaldi vs Fabian MarozsanATP Geneva 6-3 7-6Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
9.1%
19.05.2025R32 Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo GastonATP Geneva 6-7 6-4 6-4Clay Win
Hold
81.2%
Break
29.4%