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Portrait of Madison Keys, tennis player
Player research cockpit

MadisonKeys

TennisJack analysis

Madison Keys currently has a large TennisJack sample of 70 completed matches, with a 67.1% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 5-5 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #24
M
Matches70Completed matches
%
Win rate67.1%Across all matches
F
Latest form5-5In latest 10 matches
I
Index statusStrong candidateProfile confidence
Performance metrics
Hold Base76.7%
Break Pressure36.0%
Latest form (10 matches)
5-5
L L W L W W L W W L
Surface profile
Hardcourt outdoor
Canonical/players/madison-keys/
Index statusStrong candidate
Last updatedData from TennisJack
Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 70 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

01

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Strong starter Break-heavy player Close-set risk Stable server
Set 1 punch60.0%
Service shield76.7%
Return bite36.0%
Decider risk38.6%
02

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 76.1% 35-11 - 46 matches Avg odds 1.31 | 1+ set 89.1%
Underdog 12.5% 1-7 - 8 matches Avg odds 3.15 | 1+ set 50.0%
03

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win60.0%
Breaks first S155.4%
Broken first S144.6%
Recovers S120.7%
04

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks3.73
Avg broken2.64
Balance1.09
Clean service matches8.6%
3+ breaks produced78.6%
Set 2 win70.0%
05

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

51.1%Clean 2-0 share among wins
Clean 2-0 wins24
Comeback signals48
Lost set 1, won match14
Comeback index68.6%
06

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceHardcourt outdoor
Primary record18-12
Primary WR60.0%
Best surfaceClay 78.9%
Hardcourt outdoor18-1260.0%
Clay15-478.9%
Grass13-572.2%
Hardcourt indoor1-233.3%
07

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.32
Avg loss odds2.12
Biggest win odds2.30
2.00+ odds WR12.5%
2.00+ sample8
Odds sample54
08

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share38.6%
Decider record15-12
Set 3 win55.6%
After losing S150.0%
09

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets44-33
Close-set WR57.1%
Tie-breaks10-11
Matches with tight set49
10

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Stable form · 1 losses running
L L W L W W L W W L
Latest 5 WR60.0%
Previous 10 WR70.0%
Latest 53-2
Previous 107-3
Trend delta-10.0%
Latest 5 WR60.0%
Match log

All Madison Keys matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, opponent, set score, result and service-return indicators before opening the deeper tools.

Open Player Research
DateMatchScoreResultHold / Break
05.09.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Qinwen ZhengUS Open Women 6-1 6-7 5-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
75.0%
Break
33.3%
03.09.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Anna BondarUS Open Women 5-7 6-4 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
76.5%
Break
22.2%
01.09.2026R128 Madison Keys vs Alina KorneevaUS Open Women 7-5 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
63.6%
Break
54.5%
21.08.2026QF Madison Keys vs Sara BejlekWTA Cincinnati 6-3 4-6 6-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
81.2%
Break
18.8%
18.08.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Katerina SiniakovaWTA Cincinnati 6-1 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
50.0%
16.08.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Daria SnigurWTA Cincinnati 4-6 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
78.6%
Break
35.7%
06.08.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Marta KostyukWTA Toronto 3-6 1-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
0.0%
04.08.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Antonia RuzicWTA Toronto 6-1 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
71.4%
27.07.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Ludmilla SamsonovaWTA Washington 6-3 4-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
78.6%
Break
20.0%
06.07.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Linda NoskovaWimbledon Women 4-6 6-7Grass Loss
Hold
81.8%
Break
8.3%
04.07.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Amanda AnisimovaWimbledon Women 3-6 6-2 6-3Grass Win
Hold
92.3%
Break
23.1%
02.07.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Katie SwanWimbledon Women 6-1 6-4Grass Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
62.5%
30.06.2026R128 Madison Keys vs Kayla DayWimbledon Women 6-7 6-4 6-3Grass Win
Hold
93.3%
Break
23.5%
27.06.2026Final Madison Keys vs Tatjana MariaWTA Eastbourne 7-5 6-4Grass Win
Hold
90.9%
Break
27.3%
25.06.2026QF Madison Keys vs McCartney KesslerWTA Eastbourne 6-3 6-1Grass Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
50.0%
24.06.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWTA Eastbourne 6-0 6-1Grass Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
85.7%
23.06.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Talia GibsonWTA Eastbourne 6-4 6-4Grass Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
30.0%
19.06.2026QF Madison Keys vs Jessica PegulaWTA Berlin 6-7 6-7Grass Loss
Hold
83.3%
Break
14.3%
18.06.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Karolina MuchovaWTA Berlin 6-4 7-5Grass Win
Hold
90.9%
Break
27.3%
16.06.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Xinyu WangWTA Berlin 7-6 6-1Grass Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
36.4%
01.06.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Diana ShnaiderFrench Open Women 3-6 6-3 0-6Clay Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
25.0%
30.05.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Victoria MbokoFrench Open Women 6-3 5-7 7-5Clay Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
31.2%
28.05.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Antonia RuzicFrench Open Women 6-4 6-4Clay Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
40.0%
26.05.2026R128 Madison Keys vs Hanne VandewinkelFrench Open Women 6-3 6-0Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
57.1%
16.05.2026SF Madison Keys vs Yulia StarodubtsewaWTA Paris 1-6 6-2 6-3Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
41.7%
15.05.2026QF Madison Keys vs Anastasia ZakharovaWTA Paris 6-4 6-1Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
55.6%
14.05.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Tiantsoa Rakotomanga RajaonahWTA Paris 6-4 6-1Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
55.6%
12.05.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Fiona FerroWTA Paris 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
44.4%
10.05.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Nikola BartunkovaWTA Rome 3-6 6-1 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
84.6%
Break
15.4%
08.05.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Peyton StearnsWTA Rome 4-6 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
71.4%
Break
42.9%
04.04.2026SF Madison Keys vs Yulia StarodubtsewaWTA Charleston 1-6 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
33.3%
Break
25.0%
03.04.2026QF Madison Keys vs Belinda BencicWTA Charleston 4-6 6-3 6-2Clay Win
Hold
76.9%
Break
38.5%
02.04.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Anna BondarWTA Charleston 6-2 7-5Clay Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
50.0%
01.04.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Donna VekicWTA Charleston 6-2 6-3Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
55.6%
22.03.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Qinwen ZhengWTA Miami 6-4 2-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
71.4%
Break
14.3%
21.03.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Elena-Gabriela RuseWTA Miami 6-0 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
57.1%
10.03.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Sonay KartalWTA Indian Wells 6-2 2-6 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
66.7%
Break
23.1%
08.03.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Diane ParryWTA Indian Wells 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
40.0%
26.01.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Jessica PegulaAustralian Open Women 3-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
55.6%
Break
20.0%
24.01.2026R32 Madison Keys vs Karolina PliskovaAustralian Open Women 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
44.4%
22.01.2026R64 Madison Keys vs Ashlyn KruegerAustralian Open Women 6-1 7-5Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
60.0%
20.01.2026R128 Madison Keys vs Oleksandra OliynykovaAustralian Open Women 7-6 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
54.5%
15.01.2026QF Madison Keys vs Victoria MbokoWTA Adelaide 4-6 6-4 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
57.1%
Break
28.6%
14.01.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Tereza ValentovaWTA Adelaide 6-4 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
62.5%
09.01.2026QF Madison Keys vs Aryna SabalenkaWTA Brisbane 3-6 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
44.4%
Break
22.2%
08.01.2026R16 Madison Keys vs Diana ShnaiderWTA Brisbane 6-7 7-6 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
19.1%
06.01.2026R32 Madison Keys vs McCartney KesslerWTA Brisbane 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
33.3%
05.12.2025 Madison Keys vs Venus WilliamsOthers 7-6 6-0Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
03.11.2025 Madison Keys vs Amanda AnisimovaWTA Finals 6-4 3-6 2-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
53.9%
Break
28.6%
01.11.2025 Madison Keys vs Iga SwiatekWTA Finals 1-6 2-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
28.6%
Break
14.3%
25.08.2025R128 Madison Keys vs Renata ZarazuaUS Open Women 7-6 6-7 5-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
66.7%
Break
25.0%
14.08.2025R16 Madison Keys vs Elena RybakinaWTA Cincinnati 7-6 4-6 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
18.8%
12.08.2025R32 Madison Keys vs Aoi ItoWTA Cincinnati 6-4 6-0Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
75.0%
09.08.2025R64 Madison Keys vs Eva LysWTA Cincinnati 1-6 6-3 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
64.3%
Break
26.7%
06.08.2025QF Madison Keys vs Clara TausonWTA Montreal 1-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
62.5%
Break
0.0%
03.08.2025R16 Madison Keys vs Karolina MuchovaWTA Montreal 4-6 6-3 7-5Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
81.2%
Break
26.7%
01.08.2025R32 Madison Keys vs Caty McNallyWTA Montreal 2-6 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
76.9%
Break
30.8%
30.07.2025R64 Madison Keys vs Laura SiegemundWTA Montreal 6-2 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
71.4%
04.07.2025R32 Madison Keys vs Laura SiegemundWimbledon Women 3-6 3-6Grass Loss
Hold
44.4%
Break
22.2%
02.07.2025R64 Madison Keys vs Olga DanilovicWimbledon Women 6-4 6-2Grass Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
44.4%
30.06.2025R128 Madison Keys vs Elena-Gabriela RuseWimbledon Women 6-7 7-5 7-5Grass Win
Hold
72.2%
Break
36.8%
17.06.2025R32 Madison Keys vs Marketa VondrousovaWTA Berlin 5-7 6-7Grass Loss
Hold
75.0%
Break
15.4%
14.06.2025SF Madison Keys vs Tatjana MariaWTA Queens 3-6 6-7Grass Loss
Hold
90.0%
Break
0.0%
13.06.2025QF Madison Keys vs Diana ShnaiderWTA Queens 2-6 6-3 6-4Grass Win
Hold
85.7%
Break
15.4%
11.06.2025R16 Madison Keys vs Anastasia ZakharovaWTA Queens 6-3 6-2Grass Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
62.5%
04.06.2025QF Madison Keys vs Coco GauffFrench Open Women 7-6 4-6 1-6Clay Loss
Hold
40.0%
Break
33.3%
02.06.2025R16 Madison Keys vs Hailey BaptisteFrench Open Women 6-3 7-5Clay Win
Hold
90.9%
Break
30.0%
31.05.2025R32 Madison Keys vs Sofia KeninFrench Open Women 4-6 6-3 7-5Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
20.0%
29.05.2025R64 Madison Keys vs Katie BoulterFrench Open Women 6-1 6-3Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
62.5%
26.05.2025R128 Madison Keys vs Daria SavilleFrench Open Women 6-2 6-1Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
71.4%