Portrait of Daria Kasatkina, tennis player
Player research cockpit

DariaKasatkina

TennisJack analysis

Daria Kasatkina currently has a large TennisJack sample of 58 completed matches, with a 48.3% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 4-6 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #85
M
Matches58Completed matches
%
Win rate48.3%Across all matches
F
Latest form4-6In latest 10 matches
I
Index statusStrong candidateProfile confidence
Performance metrics
Hold Base56.0%
Break Pressure44.1%
Latest form (10 matches)
4-6
W L W W L W L L L L
Surface profile
Hardcourt outdoor
Canonical/players/daria-kasatkina/
Index statusStrong candidate
Last updatedData from TennisJack
Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 58 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

01

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Balanced starts Break-heavy player Close-set risk
Set 1 punch44.8%
Service shield56.0%
Return bite44.1%
Decider risk46.6%
02

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 55.6% 20-16 - 36 matches Avg odds 1.46 | 1+ set 77.8%
Underdog 30.8% 4-9 - 13 matches Avg odds 4.36 | 1+ set 69.2%
03

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win44.8%
Breaks first S147.3%
Broken first S152.7%
Recovers S117.2%
04

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks5.05
Avg broken4.86
Balance0.19
Clean service matches1.7%
3+ breaks produced79.3%
Set 2 win56.9%
05

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

28.6%Clean 2-0 share among wins
Clean 2-0 wins8
Comeback signals27
Lost set 1, won match7
Comeback index46.6%
06

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceHardcourt outdoor
Primary record10-15
Primary WR40.0%
Best surfaceClay 66.7%
Hardcourt outdoor10-1540.0%
Clay14-766.7%
Grass4-833.3%
07

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.57
Avg loss odds2.87
Biggest win odds3.40
2.00+ odds WR36.4%
2.00+ sample11
Odds sample49
08

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share46.6%
Decider record12-15
Set 3 win44.4%
After losing S121.9%
09

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets29-29
Close-set WR50.0%
Tie-breaks5-10
Matches with tight set43
10

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Cooling down · 4 losses running
W L W W L W L L L L
Latest 5 WR20.0%
Previous 10 WR40.0%
Latest 51-4
Previous 104-6
Trend delta-20.0%
Latest 5 WR20.0%
Match log

All Daria Kasatkina matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, opponent, set score, result and service-return indicators before opening the deeper tools.

Open Player Research
DateMatchScoreResultHold / Break
21.09.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Aliaksandra SasnovichWTA Singapore 5-7 0-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
33.3%
Break
22.2%
02.09.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Paula BadosaUS Open Women 1-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
62.5%
Break
0.0%
13.08.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep SonmezWTA Cincinnati 6-2 6-7 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
40.0%
05.08.2026R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Elena RybakinaWTA Toronto 3-6 7-5 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
73.3%
Break
18.8%
04.08.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Xinyu WangWTA Toronto 1-6 7-6 7-5Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
46.7%
Break
41.2%
28.07.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Anna KalinskayaWTA Washington 4-6 1-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
33.3%
Break
25.0%
26.07.2026Round 19 Daria Kasatkina vs Alana SmithWTA Washington 4-6 6-4 6-0Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
69.2%
Break
53.9%
25.07.2026R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Mariam BolkvadzeWTA Washington 6-7 6-4 6-0Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
50.0%
Break
73.3%
03.07.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi OsakaWimbledon Women 1-6 3-6Grass Loss
Hold
37.5%
Break
12.5%
01.07.2026R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Janice TjenWimbledon Women 6-7 6-1 6-4Grass Win
Hold
86.7%
Break
33.3%
29.06.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Mingge XuWimbledon Women 6-2 3-6 6-2Grass Win
Hold
-
Break
-
22.06.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs McCartney KesslerWTA Eastbourne 3-6 6-7Grass Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
25.0%
13.06.2026Round 14 Daria Kasatkina vs Anna BlinkovaWTA Nottingham 3-6 2-6Grass Loss
Hold
33.3%
Break
25.0%
08.06.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Robin MontgomeryWTA Hertogenbosch 7-5 0-6 4-6Grass Loss
Hold
42.9%
Break
35.7%
30.05.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Aryna SabalenkaFrench Open Women 0-6 5-7Clay Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
11.1%
28.05.2026R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Susan BandecchiFrench Open Women 7-5 7-6Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
38.5%
25.05.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep SonmezFrench Open Women 6-4 6-4Clay Win
Hold
60.0%
Break
60.0%
21.05.2026QF Daria Kasatkina vs Jaqueline Adina CristianWTA Strasbourg 6-7 6-3 2-6Clay Loss
Hold
42.9%
Break
50.0%
19.05.2026R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Peyton StearnsWTA Strasbourg 6-1 6-3Clay Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
62.5%
18.05.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Ludmilla SamsonovaWTA Strasbourg 7-5 6-3Clay Win
Hold
72.7%
Break
50.0%
17.05.2026Round 19 Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia ZakharovaWTA Strasbourg 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
62.5%
16.05.2026Round 14 Daria Kasatkina vs Valentina SteinerWTA Strasbourg 6-3 6-1Clay Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
75.0%
06.05.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Caty McNallyWTA Rome 2-6 3-6Clay Loss
Hold
25.0%
Break
33.3%
03.05.2026Final Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara KorpatschWTA La Bisbal D'Emporda 2-6 6-3 7-5Clay Win
Hold
35.7%
Break
66.7%
02.05.2026SF Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes TormoWTA La Bisbal D'Emporda 6-2 6-0Clay Win
Hold
85.7%
Break
85.7%
01.05.2026QF Daria Kasatkina vs Alina CharaevaWTA La Bisbal D'Emporda 4-6 6-0 6-4Clay Win
Hold
69.2%
Break
50.0%
30.04.2026R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Laura PigossiWTA La Bisbal D'Emporda 6-2 6-2Clay Win
Hold
62.5%
Break
87.5%
28.04.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Emiliana ArangoWTA La Bisbal D'Emporda 6-2 3-6 7-6Clay Win
Hold
60.0%
Break
40.0%
22.04.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Daria SnigurWTA Madrid 3-6 6-3 6-7Clay Loss
Hold
53.3%
Break
42.4%
13.04.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Ann LiWTA Rouen 7-6 2-6 4-6Clay Loss
Hold
53.3%
Break
25.0%
16.02.2026R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Laura SiegemundWTA Dubai 6-2 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
75.0%
11.02.2026R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Iga SwiatekWTA Doha 7-5 1-6 1-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
38.5%
Break
30.8%
10.02.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Elise MertensWTA Doha 6-4 6-0Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
75.0%
08.02.2026R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Moyuka UchijimaWTA Doha 4-6 6-3 6-0Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
61.5%
02.02.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Simona WaltertWTA Abu Dhabi 6-7 6-3 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
68.8%
Break
31.2%
20.01.2026R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Nikola BartunkovaAustralian Open Women 6-7 6-0 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
61.5%
Break
46.7%
14.01.2026R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Jaqueline Adina CristianWTA Adelaide 4-6 0-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
0.0%
Break
50.0%
12.01.2026R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Maria SakkariWTA Adelaide 7-6 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
45.5%
Break
58.3%
04.01.2026R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia PotapovaWTA Brisbane 5-7 6-4 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
68.8%
Break
25.0%
27.09.2025R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Sonay KartalWTA Beijing 3-6 0-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
14.3%
Break
25.0%
18.09.2025R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Katerina SiniakovaWTA Seoul 6-7 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
27.3%
30.08.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi OsakaUS Open Women 0-6 6-4 3-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
41.7%
Break
33.3%
29.08.2025R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Kamilla RakhimovaUS Open Women 6-2 4-6 7-5Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
60.0%
Break
53.3%
25.08.2025R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Elena-Gabriela RuseUS Open Women 7-5 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
55.6%
Break
80.0%
10.08.2025R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Lucia BronzettiWTA Cincinnati 3-6 6-1 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
61.5%
Break
38.5%
31.07.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Marta KostyukWTA Montreal 6-3 3-6 6-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
53.3%
Break
43.8%
29.07.2025R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Anna BlinkovaWTA Montreal 6-1 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
55.6%
05.07.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Ludmilla SamsonovaWimbledon Women 2-6 3-6Grass Loss
Hold
37.5%
Break
22.2%
03.07.2025R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Irina-Camelia BeguWimbledon Women 6-2 4-6 6-1Grass Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
61.5%
01.07.2025R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Emiliana ArangoWimbledon Women 7-5 6-3Grass Win
Hold
63.6%
Break
60.0%
23.06.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Lulu SunWTA Eastbourne 5-7 6-2 3-6Grass Loss
Hold
64.3%
Break
33.3%
17.06.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Xinyu WangWTA Berlin 3-6 2-6Grass Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
11.1%
09.06.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Sonay KartalWTA Queens 1-6 6-3 3-6Grass Loss
Hold
66.7%
Break
15.4%
02.06.2025R16 Daria Kasatkina vs Mirra AndreevaFrench Open Women 3-6 5-7Clay Loss
Hold
60.0%
Break
18.2%
31.05.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Paula BadosaFrench Open Women 6-1 7-5Clay Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
29.05.2025R64 Daria Kasatkina vs Leolia JeanjeanFrench Open Women 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
66.7%
26.05.2025R128 Daria Kasatkina vs Katerina SiniakovaFrench Open Women 6-1 3-6 6-2Clay Win
Hold
58.3%
Break
66.7%
19.05.2025R32 Daria Kasatkina vs Emma RaducanuWTA Strasbourg 1-6 3-6Clay Loss
Hold
0.0%
Break
50.0%