Player research cockpit

Carlos AlcarazGarfia

TennisJack analysis

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia currently has a large TennisJack sample of 68 completed matches, with a 88.2% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 8-2 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #3

Matches68Completed matches

Win rate88.2%Across all matches

Latest form8-2In latest 10 matches

Index statusStrong candidateProfile confidence

Performance metrics

Hold Base90.0%

Break Pressure32.0%

Latest form (10 matches)

8-2

W W W L W W W W W L

Surface profile

Hardcourt outdoor

Canonical/players/carlos-alcaraz-garfia/

Index statusStrong candidate

Last updatedData from TennisJack

Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 68 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Strong starter Break-heavy player Close-set risk Stable server

Set 1 punch82.4%

Service shield90.0%

Return bite32.0%

Decider risk52.9%

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 93.2% 41-3 - 44 matches Avg odds 1.11 | 1+ set 95.5%

Underdog 33.3% 1-2 - 3 matches Avg odds 2.23 | 1+ set 33.3%

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win82.4%

Breaks first S183.9%

Broken first S116.1%

Recovers S144.4%

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks2.85

Avg broken0.88

Balance1.97

Clean service matches47.1%

3+ breaks produced61.8%

Set 2 win76.5%

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

36.7%Clean 2-0 share among wins

Clean 2-0 wins22

Comeback signals40

Lost set 1, won match6

Comeback index58.8%

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceHardcourt outdoor

Primary record37-3

Primary WR92.5%

Best surfaceGrass 100.0%

Hardcourt outdoor37-392.5%

Hardcourt indoor8-466.7%

Clay8-188.9%

Grass7-0100.0%

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.13

Avg loss odds1.59

Biggest win odds2.10

2.00+ odds WR50.0%

2.00+ sample2

Odds sample47

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share52.9%

Decider record33-3

Set 3 win88.9%

After losing S150.0%

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets77-20

Close-set WR79.4%

Tie-breaks13-12

Matches with tight set59

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Stable form · 1 losses running

W W W L W W W W W L

Latest 5 WR80.0%

Previous 10 WR70.0%

Latest 54-1

Previous 107-3

Trend delta+10.0%

Latest 5 WR80.0%

Match log

All Carlos Alcaraz Garfia matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, opponent, set score, result and service-return indicators before opening the deeper tools.

Open Player Research

Date	Match	Score	Result	Hold / Break
09.09.2026QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Ben SheltonUS Open	7-6 1-6 3-6 6-1 6-7Hardcourt outdoor	Loss	Hold - Break -
06.09.2026R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Tommy PaulUS Open	6-4 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 93.3% Break 28.6%
04.09.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Yibing WuUS Open	6-3 6-4 6-1Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 75.0% Break 60.0%
03.09.2026R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jaime FariaUS Open	4-6 6-0 6-3 6-2Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold - Break -
31.08.2026R128	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Roman SafiullinUS Open	6-4 6-4 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 93.3% Break 26.7%
14.04.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Otto VirtanenATP Barcelona	6-4 6-2Clay	Win	Hold 88.9% Break 37.5%
12.04.2026Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jannik SinnerATP Monte Carlo	6-7 3-6Clay	Loss	Hold 70.0% Break 18.2%
11.04.2026SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Valentin VacherotATP Monte Carlo	6-4 6-4Clay	Win	Hold 90.0% Break 30.0%
10.04.2026QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alexander BublikATP Monte Carlo	6-3 6-0Clay	Win	Hold 85.7% Break 71.4%
09.04.2026R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryATP Monte Carlo	6-1 4-6 6-3Clay	Win	Hold 84.6% Break 38.5%
07.04.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Sebastian BaezATP Monte Carlo	6-1 6-3Clay	Win	Hold 87.5% Break 62.5%
22.03.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Sebastian KordaATP Miami	3-6 7-5 4-6Hardcourt outdoor	Loss	Hold 80.0% Break 12.5%
21.03.2026R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Joao FonsecaATP Miami	6-4 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 20.0%
15.03.2026SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Daniil MedvedevATP Indian Wells	3-6 6-7Hardcourt outdoor	Loss	Hold 80.0% Break 8.3%
13.03.2026QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Cameron NorrieATP Indian Wells	6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 80.0% Break 44.4%
11.03.2026R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Casper RuudATP Indian Wells	6-1 7-6Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 27.3%
10.03.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Arthur RinderknechATP Indian Wells	6-7 6-3 6-2Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 93.3% Break 26.7%
08.03.2026R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Grigor DimitrovATP Indian Wells	6-2 6-3Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 37.5%
21.02.2026Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Arthur FilsATP Doha	6-2 6-1Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 62.5%
20.02.2026SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Andrey RublevATP Doha	7-6 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 63.6% Break 36.4%
19.02.2026QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Karen KhachanovATP Doha	6-7 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 17.6%
18.02.2026R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Valentin RoyerATP Doha	6-2 7-5Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 90.0% Break 40.0%
17.02.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Arthur RinderknechATP Doha	6-4 7-6Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 8.3%
01.02.2026Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Novak DjokovicAustralian Open	2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold - Break -
30.01.2026SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alexander ZverevAustralian Open	6-4 7-6 6-7 6-7 7-5Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold - Break -
27.01.2026QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alex De MinaurAustralian Open	7-5 6-2 6-1Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 85.7% Break 53.9%
25.01.2026R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Tommy PaulAustralian Open	7-6 6-4 7-5Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 94.1% Break 16.7%
23.01.2026R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Corentin MoutetAustralian Open	6-2 6-4 6-1Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 83.3% Break 61.5%
21.01.2026R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Yannick HanfmannAustralian Open	7-6 6-3 6-2Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 93.3% Break 26.7%
18.01.2026R128	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Adam WaltonAustralian Open	6-3 7-6 6-2Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 93.3% Break 26.7%
10.01.2026	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jannik SinnerHyundai Card Super Match	7-5 7-6Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 7.7%
09.12.2025	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Joao FonsecaOthers	7-5 2-6 10-8Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold - Break -
16.11.2025Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jannik SinnerATP Finals	6-7 5-7Hardcourt indoor	Loss	Hold 83.3% Break 7.7%
15.11.2025SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Felix Auger AliassimeATP Finals	6-2 6-4Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 33.3%
13.11.2025	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Lorenzo MusettiATP Finals	6-4 6-1Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 37.5%
11.11.2025	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Taylor FritzATP Finals	6-7 7-5 6-3Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 94.1% Break 17.6%
09.11.2025	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alex De MinaurATP Finals	7-6 6-2Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 77.8% Break 36.4%
28.10.2025R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Cameron NorrieATP Paris	6-4 3-6 4-6Hardcourt indoor	Loss	Hold 85.7% Break 7.1%
18.10.2025Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jannik SinnerSix Kings Slam	2-6 4-6Hardcourt indoor	Loss	Hold 66.7% Break 0.0%
16.10.2025SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Taylor FritzSix Kings Slam	6-4 6-2Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 33.3%
30.09.2025Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Taylor FritzATP Tokyo	6-4 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 90.0% Break 30.0%
29.09.2025SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Casper RuudATP Tokyo	3-6 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 92.9% Break 14.3%
28.09.2025QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Brandon NakashimaATP Tokyo	6-2 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 33.3%
27.09.2025R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Zizou BergsATP Tokyo	6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 66.7% Break 55.6%
25.09.2025R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Sebastian BaezATP Tokyo	6-4 6-2Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 88.9% Break 44.4%
22.09.2025Round 11	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Francisco CerundoloLaver Cup	6-2 6-1Hardcourt indoor	Win	Hold 87.5% Break 71.4%
21.09.2025Round 7	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Taylor FritzLaver Cup	3-6 2-6Hardcourt indoor	Loss	Hold 62.5% Break 0.0%
07.09.2025Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jannik SinnerUS Open	6-2 3-6 6-1 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold - Break -
05.09.2025SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Novak DjokovicUS Open	6-4 7-6 6-2Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 93.3% Break 25.0%
02.09.2025QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jiri LeheckaUS Open	6-4 6-2 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 28.6%
31.08.2025R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Arthur RinderknechUS Open	7-6 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 12.5%
29.08.2025R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Luciano DarderiUS Open	6-2 6-4 6-0Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 91.7% Break 58.3%
28.08.2025R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Mattia BellucciUS Open	6-1 6-0 6-3Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 63.6%
26.08.2025R128	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Reilly OpelkaUS Open	6-4 7-5 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 18.8%
15.08.2025QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Andrey RublevATP Cincinnati	6-3 4-6 7-5Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold - Break -
14.08.2025R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Luca NardiATP Cincinnati	6-1 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 88.9% Break 50.0%
12.08.2025R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Hamad MedjedovicATP Cincinnati	6-4 6-4Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold - Break -
10.08.2025R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Damir DzumhurATP Cincinnati	6-1 2-6 6-3Hardcourt outdoor	Win	Hold 75.0% Break 41.7%
08.07.2025QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Cameron NorrieWimbledon	6-2 6-3 6-3Grass	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 38.5%
02.07.2025R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Oliver TarvetWimbledon	6-1 6-4 6-4Grass	Win	Hold - Break -
30.06.2025R128	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Fabio FogniniWimbledon	7-5 6-7 7-5 2-6 6-1Grass	Win	Hold - Break -
22.06.2025Final	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jiri LeheckaATP Queens	7-5 6-7 6-2Grass	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 17.6%
21.06.2025SF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Roberto Bautista-AgutATP Queens	6-4 6-4Grass	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 20.0%
19.06.2025R16	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jaume MunarATP Queens	6-4 6-7 7-5Grass	Win	Hold 88.2% Break 22.2%
17.06.2025R32	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Adam WaltonATP Queens	6-4 7-6Grass	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 8.3%
03.06.2025QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Tommy PaulFrench Open	6-0 6-1 6-4Clay	Win	Hold 100.0% Break 54.5%
28.05.2025R64	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Fabian MarozsanFrench Open	6-1 4-6 6-1 6-2Clay	Win	Hold - Break -
14.05.2025QF	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Jack DraperATP Rome	6-4 6-4Clay	Win	Hold - Break -