Portrait of Aryna Sabalenka, tennis player
Player research cockpit

ArynaSabalenka

TennisJack analysis

Aryna Sabalenka currently has a large TennisJack sample of 83 completed matches, with a 83.1% win rate in the loaded match history. The recent form line is 7-3 across the latest 10 completed matches.

Latest rank #1
M
Matches83Completed matches
%
Win rate83.1%Across all matches
F
Latest form7-3In latest 10 matches
I
Index statusStrong candidateProfile confidence
Performance metrics
Hold Base81.2%
Break Pressure36.2%
Latest form (10 matches)
7-3
W L W W L W W W W L
Surface profile
Hardcourt outdoor
Canonical/players/aryna-sabalenka/
Index statusStrong candidate
Last updatedData from TennisJack
Profile intelligence

Ten signals worth watching.

Built from 83 completed TennisJack matches: form, surface, odds, pressure and close-set behavior. The full match log stays below for audit.

01

Player DNA

Quick fingerprint from starts, service base, return bite and decider exposure.

Strong starter Break-heavy player Stable server
Set 1 punch80.7%
Service shield81.2%
Return bite36.2%
Decider risk22.9%
02

Favorite / Underdog Split

How the player behaves when priced as market favorite versus outsider.

Favorite 87.1% 61-9 - 70 matches Avg odds 1.21 | 1+ set 94.3%
Underdog 0.0% 0-1 - 1 matches Avg odds 5.00 | 1+ set 0.0%
03

First Set Personality

Shows whether the player starts cleanly, breaks first, or survives early pressure.

Set 1 win80.7%
Breaks first S165.8%
Broken first S134.2%
Recovers S150.0%
04

Break Pressure Profile

Return damage versus service leakage, built from set-level break counters.

Avg breaks3.24
Avg broken1.88
Balance1.36
Clean service matches25.3%
3+ breaks produced72.3%
Set 2 win79.5%
05

Clean Win / Comeback Index

Separates smooth 2-0 wins from matches where the player had to repair damage.

55.1%Clean 2-0 share among wins
Clean 2-0 wins38
Comeback signals67
Lost set 1, won match6
Comeback index80.7%
06

Surface Edge

Where the profile is most trustworthy and where the win rate really travels.

Primary surfaceHardcourt outdoor
Primary record41-5
Primary WR89.1%
Best surfaceHardcourt outdoor 89.1%
Hardcourt outdoor41-589.1%
Clay12-475.0%
Grass10-376.9%
Hardcourt indoor6-275.0%
07

Odds Value Pulse

Shows whether the player wins as expected or creates value at outsider prices.

Avg win odds1.18
Avg loss odds1.77
Biggest win odds1.73
2.00+ odds WR0.0%
2.00+ sample1
Odds sample71
08

Decider Profile

How often matches become complicated, and whether the player survives the third set.

Three-set share22.9%
Decider record12-7
Set 3 win63.2%
After losing S137.5%
09

Close Set Risk

Tie-break and 7-5 / 7-6 pressure profile, useful for spotting fragile edges.

Close sets65-23
Close-set WR73.9%
Tie-breaks23-6
Matches with tight set67
10

Momentum Trend

Compares the latest 5 matches with the previous 10 so form shifts are visible immediately.

Stable form · 1 losses running
W L W W L W W W W L
Latest 5 WR80.0%
Previous 10 WR70.0%
Latest 54-1
Previous 107-3
Trend delta+10.0%
Latest 5 WR80.0%
Match log

All Aryna Sabalenka matches in the TennisJack sample.

Scan date, tournament, surface, opponent, set score, result and service-return indicators before opening the deeper tools.

Open Player Research
DateMatchScoreResultHold / Break
12.09.2026Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaUS Open Women 4-6 7-5 2-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
6.7%
08.09.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaUS Open Women 7-6 3-6 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
81.2%
Break
10.5%
06.09.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Taylor TownsendUS Open Women 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
55.6%
Break
70.0%
04.09.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Kamilla RakhimovaUS Open Women 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
22.2%
31.08.2026R128 Aryna Sabalenka vs Maria Camila OsorioUS Open Women 6-2 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
75.0%
Break
55.6%
20.08.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara BejlekWTA Cincinnati 6-7 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
54.5%
Break
33.3%
16.08.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Talia GibsonWTA Cincinnati 6-2 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
36.4%
04.08.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka UchijimaWTA Toronto 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
66.7%
05.07.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaWimbledon Women 2-6 6-7Grass Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
0.0%
03.07.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena OstapenkoWimbledon Women 6-4 6-4Grass Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
40.0%
01.07.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney KesslerWimbledon Women 6-1 7-6Grass Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
33.3%
29.06.2026R128 Aryna Sabalenka vs Teodora KostovicWimbledon Women 6-2 6-3Grass Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
55.6%
20.06.2026SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaWTA Berlin 4-6 7-6 0-6Grass Loss
Hold
64.3%
Break
6.7%
19.06.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola BartunkovaWTA Berlin 2-6 7-6 6-4Grass Win
Hold
60.0%
Break
31.2%
17.06.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaWTA Berlin 6-4 6-4Grass Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
30.0%
03.06.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana ShnaiderFrench Open Women 6-3 5-7 0-6Clay Loss
Hold
50.0%
Break
30.8%
01.06.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaFrench Open Women 7-5 6-3Clay Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
36.4%
30.05.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria KasatkinaFrench Open Women 6-0 7-5Clay Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
28.05.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Elsa JacquemotFrench Open Women 7-5 6-2Clay Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
50.0%
26.05.2026R128 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroFrench Open Women 6-4 6-2Clay Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
66.7%
09.05.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana CirsteaWTA Rome 6-2 3-6 5-7Clay Loss
Hold
57.1%
Break
40.0%
07.05.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Barbora KrejcikovaWTA Rome 6-2 6-3Clay Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
28.04.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey BaptisteWTA Madrid 6-2 2-6 6-7Clay Loss
Hold
57.1%
Break
40.0%
27.04.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaWTA Madrid 6-7 6-3 6-2Clay Win
Hold
93.3%
Break
26.7%
25.04.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jaqueline Adina CristianWTA Madrid 6-1 6-4Clay Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
37.5%
23.04.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton StearnsWTA Madrid 7-5 6-3Clay Win
Hold
81.8%
Break
40.0%
28.03.2026Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffWTA Miami 6-2 4-6 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
92.3%
Break
23.1%
27.03.2026SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaWTA Miami 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
44.4%
26.03.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey BaptisteWTA Miami 6-4 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
30.0%
23.03.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen ZhengWTA Miami 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
33.3%
23.03.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Caty McNallyWTA Miami 6-4 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
55.6%
21.03.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Ann LiWTA Miami 7-6 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
81.8%
Break
25.0%
15.03.2026Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaWTA Indian Wells 3-6 6-3 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
18.8%
14.03.2026SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaWTA Indian Wells 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
33.3%
12.03.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria MbokoWTA Indian Wells 7-6 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
8.3%
10.03.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaWTA Indian Wells 6-2 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
33.3%
08.03.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jaqueline Adina CristianWTA Indian Wells 6-4 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
06.03.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Himeno SakatsumeWTA Indian Wells 6-4 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
33.3%
31.01.2026Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaAustralian Open Women 4-6 6-4 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
80.0%
Break
13.3%
29.01.2026SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaAustralian Open Women 6-2 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
27.01.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Iva JovicAustralian Open Women 6-3 6-0Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
57.1%
25.01.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria MbokoAustralian Open Women 6-1 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
40.0%
23.01.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia PotapovaAustralian Open Women 7-6 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
66.7%
Break
28.6%
21.01.2026R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Zhuoxuan BaiAustralian Open Women 6-3 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
62.5%
18.01.2026R128 Aryna Sabalenka vs Tiantsoa Rakotomanga RajaonahAustralian Open Women 6-4 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
50.0%
11.01.2026Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta KostyukWTA Brisbane 6-4 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
33.3%
10.01.2026SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina MuchovaWTA Brisbane 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
22.2%
09.01.2026QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison KeysWTA Brisbane 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
77.8%
Break
55.6%
08.01.2026R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana CirsteaWTA Brisbane 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
44.4%
06.01.2026R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Cristina BucsaWTA Brisbane 6-0 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
83.3%
28.12.2025Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick KyrgiosBattle of the Sexes 3-6 3-6Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
33.3%
Break
33.3%
09.12.2025 Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaOthers 6-4 7-5Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
06.12.2025 Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaOthers 6-3 4-6 10-4Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
08.11.2025Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaWTA Finals 3-6 6-7Hardcourt indoor Loss
Hold
90.0%
Break
0.0%
07.11.2025SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda AnisimovaWTA Finals 6-3 3-6 6-3Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
76.9%
Break
35.7%
06.11.2025 Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffWTA Finals 7-6 6-2Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
70.0%
Break
45.5%
04.11.2025 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaWTA Finals 6-4 2-6 6-3Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
71.4%
Break
30.8%
02.11.2025 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine PaoliniWTA Finals 6-3 6-1Hardcourt indoor Win
Hold
87.5%
Break
62.5%
11.10.2025SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaWTA Wuhan 6-2 4-6 6-7Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
53.3%
Break
53.3%
10.10.2025QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaWTA Wuhan 6-3 6-3Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
88.9%
Break
44.4%
09.10.2025R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Ludmilla SamsonovaWTA Wuhan 6-3 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
37.5%
08.10.2025R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebecca SramkovaWTA Wuhan 4-6 6-3 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
84.6%
Break
38.5%
06.09.2025Final Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda AnisimovaUS Open Women 6-3 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
63.6%
Break
45.5%
05.09.2025SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaUS Open Women 4-6 6-3 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
86.7%
Break
21.4%
01.09.2025R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Cristina BucsaUS Open Women 6-1 6-4Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
37.5%
30.08.2025R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Leylah Annie FernandezUS Open Women 6-3 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
100.0%
Break
9.1%
28.08.2025R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Polina KudermetovaUS Open Women 7-6 6-2Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
27.3%
24.08.2025R128 Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka MasarovaUS Open Women 7-5 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
44.4%
15.08.2025QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaWTA Cincinnati 1-6 4-6Hardcourt outdoor Loss
Hold
62.5%
Break
0.0%
14.08.2025R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWTA Cincinnati 6-1 7-5Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
55.6%
11.08.2025R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma RaducanuWTA Cincinnati 7-6 4-6 7-6Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
82.3%
Break
11.1%
10.08.2025R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa VondrousovaWTA Cincinnati 7-5 6-1Hardcourt outdoor Win
Hold
-
Break
-
08.07.2025QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Laura SiegemundWimbledon Women 4-6 6-2 6-4Grass Win
Hold
57.1%
Break
57.1%
06.07.2025R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Elise MertensWimbledon Women 6-4 7-6Grass Win
Hold
-
Break
-
04.07.2025R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma RaducanuWimbledon Women 7-6 6-4Grass Win
Hold
-
Break
-
30.06.2025R128 Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson BranstineWimbledon Women 6-1 7-5Grass Win
Hold
-
Break
-
21.06.2025SF Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa VondrousovaWTA Berlin 2-6 4-6Grass Loss
Hold
-
Break
-
19.06.2025R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Rebeka MasarovaWTA Berlin 6-2 7-6Grass Win
Hold
90.0%
Break
27.3%
03.06.2025QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen ZhengFrench Open Women 7-6 6-3Clay Win
Hold
80.0%
Break
33.3%
30.05.2025R32 Aryna Sabalenka vs Olga DanilovicFrench Open Women 6-2 6-3Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
28.05.2025R64 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jil TeichmannFrench Open Women 6-3 6-1Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-
14.05.2025QF Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen ZhengWTA Rome 4-6 3-6Clay Loss
Hold
70.0%
Break
0.0%
12.05.2025R16 Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta KostyukWTA Rome 6-1 7-6Clay Win
Hold
-
Break
-